Despite Trump’s apparent obsession with German cars and the German trade surplus, political support in the U.S. for a trade war against the EU is much weaker than for getting tough on China.
Look for significant noise, but not for a genuine trade war across the Atlantic.
A short eight-week delay to adjust the joint statement on post-Brexit relations accordingly would be fine for the EU27.
Macron suffered the fate of his predecessors — shortly after taking office, popularity slumps. But the worst may be over now.
Will the US and EU find a compromise on trade to avert a head-on clash?
Any final Brexit deal will come with a lot of cherry picking.
But it will be EU that will do the picking – not the UK.
Macron has two advantages over Matteo Renzi: A solid majority in parliament and the ability to give protesters some fiscal concessions.
Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer is widely seen as being close to Merkel. She seems to benefit from a little “Merkel nostalgia.”