What is the economic fallout going to be for sure? And what will it be if it’s a bad case?
The AfD’s Thuringia maneuver caught Germany’s right-of-center parties flat-footed. The odds of a leftist coalition at the federal level in 2021 are rising.
When the Tories’ partying is over, the UK will realize it has little choice but to coordinate with its EU neighbors.
The post-Brexit EU may look ever more like the kind of EU many Britons had wanted it to be.
It looks like CDU/CSU and SPD agreeing to stay together throughout 2020. But the risk that the SPD throws in the towel continues to loom large.
Germany’s center-left SPD will be led in the future by a little-known left-wing duo that is highly critical of the SPD’s role in Angela Merkel’s government.
Germany’s parties on the left are only a few percentage points short of a potential majority.
The lessons that the EU will – hopefully – draw from Brexit should give it a good chance to weather other storms.