Rethinking America

Super Tuesday Odds: How Will Sanders Perform?

Instead of a Sanders blowout giving him a near-insurmountable delegate lead and a lock on the nomination, he will now be in a scramble to the convention.

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Takeaways


  • Biden's win in South Carolina combined with Pete Buttigieg dropping out of the race changes Tuesday's outcome considerably.
  • Instead of a Sanders blowout giving him a near-insurmountable delegate lead and a lock on the nomination, he will now be in a scramble to the convention.

Biden’s win in South Carolina combined with Pete Buttigieg dropping out of the race changes Tuesday’s outcome considerably.

Instead of a Sanders blowout giving him a near-insurmountable delegate lead and a lock on the nomination, he will now be in a scramble to the convention.

Sanders still nails the most votes and delegates on Tuesday, but will have to keep fighting. Here’s my revised forecast.

Wins, losses and toss-ups

Alabama — Sanders loses

Arkansas — Sanders loses

California — Sanders wins

Colorado — Sanders wins

Maine — Sanders wins

Massachusetts — Toss-up

Minnesota — Sanders comes close second

North Carolina — Sanders loses

Oklahoma — Sanders wins

Tennessee — Sanders loses

Texas — Toss-up

Utah — Sanders loses

Vermont — Sanders wins big

Virginia — Toss-up

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About Richard Phillips

Richard Phillips is a New York-based international analyst with extensive financial sector experience. [United States]

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