A deep Turkish recession could lead to more migrants leaving Turkey for the EU. Currently more than three million Syrian refugees are living in Turkey.
The demise of the current Merkel government is not the most likely outcome yet. Both CSU and CDU would have too much to lose from it.
The upcoming European Council Summit may well focus on migration — rather than the enlargement issue.
Germany’s SPD has long seen Macron as a beacon of hope. But his stance on migration policy will greatly frustrate them – and rob Angela Merkel of her European cover.
If the CSU does not agree to any compromise on migration policy, Merkel’s government may fall apart.
Russia is home to a million more immigrants than its large emigrant diaspora.
In less than half a century, Serbia morphed from hero to villain. And the country remains an outcast, the stench of Milosevic still in the air.
Italian politicians warning against “Germany-type problems” in forming a government after the next election are a truly striking moment of European integration – although not a particularly welcome one.
If immigration remains at the level of recent years, about 20% of the populations of France, England and Germany will be Muslim in the foreseeable future.