With a new term for Merkel, Germany and Europe can breathe a sigh of relief.
As Germany and Italy decide the shape of their future governments, the EU is making slow progress. It is abandoning lofty schemes and determined to focus on people’s real problems.
If immigration remains at the level of recent years, about 20% of the populations of France, England and Germany will be Muslim in the foreseeable future.
Even if the SPD votes against joining a new “GroKo” government, the damage which prolonged political uncertainty in Berlin would inflict on Germany and Europe would be very limited.
If it comes to pass, Germany’s new “grand coalition” government’s EU-related plans represent progress for Macron’s calls to reform Europe.
Germany will continue to gradually slip from the top to the upper middle ranks of the growth league of major European countries. Its current golden decade will end in the 2020s.
There are similarities between today’s Europe and the patchwork of around 300 territories and principalities which comprised the Holy Roman Empire of the German Nation.
Germany’s current political contortions will likely end with a fourth term for Merkel.
Four questions about the country’s near-term political path.