This year’s Istanbul election and last year’s move to a presidential system have unified and galvanized the opposition, raising questions about Erdogan’s next move.
Why is standing up to one-man rule and presidential nepotism actively pursued among AK Party grandees in Turkey, but not by Republicans in the U.S.?
Erdogan can use any number of legal, political or foreign policy tools to ensure his candidate wins this time around, no matter the reputational costs.
Ultimately, Erdogan might end up losing Istanbul again. And botch yet another opportunity to normalize relations with the Kurds.
Public sentiment is moving away from President Erdogan in Turkey’s largest cities, especially his hometown of Istanbul. This will have major political ramifications.
Losing Ankara and Istanbul is a significant defeat for Turkey’s President.
Erdogan’s rhetoric on converting the Hagia Sophia into a mosque could rock his relations with Russia, given its growing interest in the Orthodox Church and its adherents.
Another move in the country’s battle with Saudi Arabia for leadership of the Muslim world.