Can von der Leyen make a difference? Probably yes — but only modestly so.
The European Commission should grant Greece short-term fiscal leeway under the condition that Mitsotakis indeed delivers the promised reforms.
Despite some obstacles, it is likely that Ursula von der Leyen will lead the next European Commission.
A deal on how to fill the top jobs in Europe is almost across the line. The actual candidates however are somewhat surprising.
Boris Johnson would face a specific handicap in his talks with Brussels. The desire to grant him any concession is virtually zero.
Buoyed by its recent election success, could Germany’s Green Party claim the chancellorship when Merkel leaves office?
Even in case of a hard Brexit, the UK would probably end up having to accept most of the Withdrawal Agreement.
While he did not endear himself to his continental colleagues during his stint as foreign minister, Boris Johnson’s flexibility could turn into an advantage.
Many on the continent may now see an orderly “velvet” Brexit as the least bad among the realistic outcomes.